Q2 2026 — Institutional Signals
Aggregated conviction signals from 27 tracked hedge funds. Price filter applied since quarter-end: longs exclude stocks up more than +10% vs SPY; shorts exclude stocks already down more than 10% vs SPY.
Insider activity reflects open-market buys and sells filed since quarter-end and is shown for informational context only — it does not affect the signal, which is based solely on hedge fund positioning and price movement since quarter-end. News sentiment is similarly informational only, summarizing headlines since quarter-end via AI.
Long Ideas — 25 signals
Conviction score weights each fund's buy by its position size — a 3% position counts up to 3× more than a sliver. Lower-scoring signals are in the Watchlist below.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMZN×2 | AMAZON COM | 10 | 16.28 | +2.0% vs SPY +4.0% abs | SELL $365.27M | BUY 2SELL 3 | 2.3d↑+6.4% | ↑ Positive |
| 2 | SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN | 9 | 13.87 | -15.7% vs SPY -13.7% abs | SELL $52.55M | BUY 4 | 1.8d↑+11.6% | ↑ Positive | |
| 3 | Carvana | 9 | 12.65 | -14.2% vs SPY -12.2% abs | BUYSELL $3.09M$33.39M | — | 7.9d↑+8.3% | ↓ Negative | |
| 4 | Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl | 8 | 11.35 | -36.6% vs SPY -34.6% abs | SELL $406.77M | BUY 1 | 1.8d↓-23.6% | — Neutral | |
| 5 | CBRS13D | CEREBRAS SYSTEMS | 7 | 9.96 | -51.9% vs SPY -49.9% abs | SELL $389.74M | — | 2.1d↑+10.3% | ↓ Negative |
| 6 | AMD×2 | Advanced Micro Devices | 7 | 9.87 | -13.1% vs SPY -11.0% abs | SELL $118.21M | BUY 3 | 1.6d↓-1.7% | ↑ Positive |
| 7 | Stmicroelectronics N V | 6 | 7.20 | -43.1% vs SPY -41.1% abs | — | BUY 1 | 1.7d↑+7.8% | — Neutral | |
| 8 | INTC×2 | INTEL | 5 | 7.14 | -39.7% vs SPY -37.7% abs | BUY $10.00M | BUY 5SELL 4 | 1.4d↑+5.3% | — Neutral |
| 9 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES | 4 | 6.27 | -59.2% vs SPY -57.2% abs | BUYSELL $1.64M$3.72M | — | 2.1d↑+20.1% | ↑ Positive | |
| 10 | TSM×2 | TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC | 4 | 6.00 | -14.2% vs SPY -12.1% abs | BUY $204K | BUY 5 | 3.1d↑+9.7% | ↑ Positive |
| 11 | MU×2 | MICRON TECHNOLOGY | 4 | 5.38 | -26.0% vs SPY -23.9% abs | SELL $213.73M | BUY 2 | 1.1d↓-5.8% | ↑ Positive |
| 12 | HUT13D | HUT 8 | 4 | 5.34 | -49.0% vs SPY -47.0% abs | SELL $2.51M | — | 4.5d↑+14.1% | ↑ Positive |
| 13 | CRH | 5 | 5.05 | -22.4% vs SPY -20.4% abs | — | — | 2.0d↑+6.1% | — Neutral | |
| 14 | DPC HOLDINGS | 5 | 5.02 | -50.0% vs SPY -48.0% abs | — | — | 4.8d↑+23.6% | ↑ Positive | |
| 15 | MADISON AIR SOLUTIONS | 4 | 4.73 | -43.7% vs SPY -41.6% abs | BUY $219.56M | — | 4.1d↑+30.4% | ↓ Negative | |
| 16 | FERG×2 | FERGUSON ENTERPRISES | 4 | 4.53 | -6.1% vs SPY -4.0% abs | SELL $8.57M | — | 4.6d↑+20.2% | ↑ Positive |
| 17 | ASTERA LABS | 3 | 4.50 | -48.8% vs SPY -46.8% abs | SELL $214.16M | — | 2.2d↑+5.7% | ↑ Positive | |
| 18 | PERFORMANCE FOOD GROUP | 3 | 4.45 | -17.3% vs SPY -15.3% abs | SELL $15.08M | — | 3.1d↑+1.2% | ↑ Positive | |
| 19 | MKS | 3 | 4.39 | -57.8% vs SPY -55.8% abs | SELL $3.23M | — | 4.2d↓-16.3% | ↑ Positive | |
| 20 | UBER×2 | UBER TECHNOLOGIES | 3 | 4.36 | -9.6% vs SPY -7.6% abs | BUYSELL $35.31M$655.85M | BUY 2 | 2.8d↑+6.6% | ↓ Negative |
| 21 | LIN×2 | LINDE | 3 | 4.36 | -3.6% vs SPY -1.6% abs | BUY $48K | SELL 1 | 2.8d↑+2.0% | ↑ Positive |
| 22 | Riot Platforms | 4 | 4.20 | -56.3% vs SPY -54.2% abs | SELL $1.44M | — | 2.8d↓-5.7% | — Neutral | |
| 23 | QUALCOMM | 3 | 4.15 | -6.3% vs SPY -4.3% abs | SELL $6.65M | BUY 1SELL 2 | 2.2d↓-7.8% | ↓ Negative | |
| 24 | INNIO | 3 | 4.13 | -63.6% vs SPY -61.5% abs | — | — | 2.9d↑+40.8% | ↓ Negative | |
| 25 | Insmed | 3 | 4.08 | -14.4% vs SPY -12.4% abs | SELL $42.94M | — | 6.5d↑+27.8% | — Neutral |
Watchlist — 28 more signals3+ funds converging, but smaller position sizes — click to expand
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRUKER | 3 | 3.98 | -6.3% vs SPY -4.2% abs | SELL $539K | — | 5.1d↓-0.7% | ↓ Negative | |
| 2 | FLEX | 3 | 3.91 | -54.8% vs SPY -52.8% abs | SELL $332K | — | 2.5d↓-1.7% | ↑ Positive | |
| 3 | UNION PAC | 3 | 3.81 | +6.2% vs SPY +8.2% abs | — | BUY 1 | 9.4d↑+1.2% | ↑ Positive | |
| 4 | CRWV×2 | COREWEAVE | 3 | 3.81 | -47.5% vs SPY -45.5% abs | SELL $368.94M | — | 1.8d↑+9.1% | ↓ Negative |
| 5 | SHERWIN WILLIAMS | 3 | 3.74 | -3.9% vs SPY -1.9% abs | SELL $7.67M | — | 3.6d↑+7.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 6 | VERSIGENT | 3 | 3.64 | -3.2% vs SPY -1.2% abs | SELL $10.07M | — | 3.0d↓-14.3% | ↑ Positive | |
| 7 | US FOODS HLDG | 3 | 3.44 | -3.3% vs SPY -1.3% abs | SELL $3.64M | — | 4.9d↑+29.8% | ↑ Positive | |
| 8 | MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY | 4 | 3.39 | -20.3% vs SPY -18.3% abs | SELL $377K | BUY 2 | 3.8d↑+2.3% | — Neutral | |
| 9 | LRCX×2 | Lam Research | 3 | 3.34 | -48.9% vs SPY -46.8% abs | SELL $58.33M | BUY 1SELL 1 | 2.6d↓-1.0% | ↓ Negative |
| 10 | QUANTINUUM | 4 | 3.26 | -57.4% vs SPY -55.4% abs | — | — | 2.4d↑+43.7% | ↑ Positive | |
| 11 | Bitdeer Technologies Group | 3 | 3.10 | -58.2% vs SPY -56.1% abs | BUY $447K | — | 5.9d↑+11.3% | — Neutral | |
| 12 | CORZ13D | CORE SCIENTIFIC | 4 | 3.00 | -50.8% vs SPY -48.8% abs | BUYSELL $342K$3.27M | — | 5.8d↑+4.5% | ↑ Positive |
| 13 | SOMNIGROUP INTERNATIONAL | 3 | 2.99 | -19.3% vs SPY -17.3% abs | BUY $1.89M | BUY 1SELL 1 | 6.0d↑+3.5% | ↓ Negative | |
| 14 | 3 | 2.88 | -18.9% vs SPY -16.9% abs | SELL $64.34M | — | 4.3d↑+11.4% | ↓ Negative | ||
| 15 | INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP IN | 3 | 2.70 | -9.7% vs SPY -7.7% abs | BUY $9K | — | 3.5d↑+10.6% | ↑ Positive | |
| 16 | SHAZ13D | SHARONAI HOLDINGS | 3 | 2.63 | -74.9% vs SPY -72.9% abs | — | — | 2.1d↑+16.9% | ↑ Positive |
| 17 | X-ENERGY | 3 | 2.62 | -44.3% vs SPY -42.3% abs | — | — | 3.8d↑+18.8% | ↓ Negative | |
| 18 | TEXAS INSTRS | 3 | 2.58 | -6.0% vs SPY -4.0% abs | SELL $1.85M | BUY 1SELL 2 | 3.1d↑+3.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 19 | SE×2 | SEA | 3 | 2.56 | -24.1% vs SPY -22.1% abs | SELL $103.03M | — | 2.9d↓-6.4% | ↓ Negative |
| 20 | ON SEMICONDUCTOR | 3 | 2.51 | -25.6% vs SPY -23.6% abs | SELL $1.25M | BUY 1 | 2.4d↑+1.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 21 | LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR | 3 | 2.51 | -39.1% vs SPY -37.1% abs | SELL $3.04M | SELL 1 | 4.2d↑+32.7% | ↑ Positive | |
| 22 | COMPASS | 3 | 2.50 | -22.9% vs SPY -20.9% abs | SELL $568K | — | 3.0d↑+19.8% | — Neutral | |
| 23 | APLD13D | APPLIED DIGITAL | 3 | 2.43 | -53.1% vs SPY -51.1% abs | BUYSELL $6.66M$3.02M | — | 3.4d↓-2.1% | ↑ Positive |
| 24 | FERVO ENERGY | 3 | 2.43 | -74.5% vs SPY -72.5% abs | — | — | 3.6d↑+45.4% | ↓ Negative | |
| 25 | LITTELFUSE | 3 | 2.41 | -24.7% vs SPY -22.7% abs | — | — | 6.6d↑+6.7% | ↑ Positive | |
| 26 | CISCO SYS | 3 | 2.34 | -10.7% vs SPY -8.6% abs | SELL $6.03M | BUY 1SELL 2 | 2.3d↓-11.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 27 | SITM13D | SITIME | 3 | 2.31 | -40.3% vs SPY -38.3% abs | SELL $13.52M | — | 2.9d↑+24.4% | ↑ Positive |
| 28 | TESLA | 3 | 2.17 | -13.5% vs SPY -11.5% abs | SELL $938K | BUY 2 | 1.9d↑+3.0% | ↓ Negative |
Long Ideas — Already Moved — 8 signals
High-conviction buys (4+ funds or score ≥ 5) that have already outperformed SPY by more than 10% since quarter-end. The institutional thesis may still be intact, but the easy move has likely already happened.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | META×2 | META PLATFORMS | 6 | 9.83 | +12.2% vs SPY +14.2% abs | SELL $108.68M | BUY 4SELL 3 | 1.3d↑+8.3% | ↓ Negative |
| 2 | V×2 | VISA | 6 | 7.83 | +17.1% vs SPY +19.1% abs | SELL $46.99M | BUY 1SELL 2 | 2.8d↑+11.2% | — Neutral |
| 3 | SNOWFLAKE | 6 | 7.40 | +25.9% vs SPY +27.9% abs | SELL $664.84M | BUY 2 | 4.2d↓-4.2% | ↑ Positive | |
| 4 | DANAHER | 5 | 5.65 | +19.2% vs SPY +21.2% abs | SELL $12.74M | BUY 1 | 1.8d↑+7.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 5 | SPGI×2 | S&P GLOBAL | 4 | 5.36 | +15.1% vs SPY +17.1% abs | — | BUY 1 | 3.4d↓-1.8% | — Neutral |
| 6 | TMO×2 | Thermo Fisher Scientific | 4 | 5.05 | +32.5% vs SPY +34.5% abs | SELL $61.56M | BUY 1 | 2.1d↑+7.7% | ↑ Positive |
| 7 | WARNER BROS DISCOVERY | 4 | 4.95 | +11.5% vs SPY +16.1% abs | SELL $141.33M | BUY 1 | 1.0d↓-2.6% | ↓ Negative | |
| 8 | NU HLDGS | 4 | 4.59 | +11.4% vs SPY +13.5% abs | SELL $6.00M | — | 1.7d↑+2.2% | — Neutral |
Mixed Signals — 4 stocks
Stocks where 3+ funds are buying and 3+ funds are reducing or exiting — divergent conviction within the tracked universe. These are excluded from the Long and Short sections above; view the detail page to see which funds are on each side.
| # | Insider | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOOGL×2 | ALPHABET | 13 buy (19.84)3 sell (2.42) | -12.4% vs SPY -10.3% abs | — | BUY 2SELL 4 | 2.9d↓-8.0% | ↓ Negative |
| 2 | AVGO×2 | BROADCOM | 4 buy (4.16)7 sell (7.85) | -16.7% vs SPY -14.7% abs | SELL $270.85M | BUY 4SELL 1 | 2.3d↑+4.4% | ↓ Negative |
| 3 | MSFT×2 | MICROSOFT | 4 buy (5.68)4 sell (3.09) | +38.9% vs SPY +40.9% abs | SELL $75.40M | BUY 9SELL 9 | 2.5d↓-9.2% | ↓ Negative |
| 4 | COF×2 | CAPITAL ONE FINL | 3 buy (3.97)3 sell (2.94) | -1.3% vs SPY +0.7% abs | SELL $10.10M | BUY 1 | 2.3d↓-9.2% | ↑ Positive |
Short Ideas — 10 signals
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NVIDIA CORPORATION | 5 | 6.39 | +3.5% vs SPY +5.5% abs | SELL $967.60M | BUY 5SELL 4 | 2.8d↑+5.8%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 2 | BIO-TECHNE | 4 | 3.86 | +0.8% vs SPY +2.8% abs | — | — | 2.1d↑+11.4%✓ | — Neutral | |
| 3 | TWILIO | 4 | 3.38 | +24.9% vs SPY +26.9% abs | SELL $145.13M | — | 1.9d↑+17.4%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 4 | RBLX↩ | ROBLOX | 3 | 2.49 | -4.8% vs SPY -2.7% abs | SELL $8.50M | — | 2.0d↑+13.8%✓ | ↓ Negative |
| 5 | LYV↩ | LIVE NATION ENTERTAINMENT IN | 3 | 2.43 | -7.3% vs SPY -5.3% abs | SELL $534K | BUY 1SELL 1 | 11.9d↑+3.3%✓ | — Neutral |
| 6 | DATADOG | 3 | 1.94 | +1.6% vs SPY +3.6% abs | SELL $312.92M | BUY 2 | 2.8d↓-7.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 7 | NFLX↩ | NETFLIX | 3 | 1.91 | -9.8% vs SPY -7.8% abs | SELL $13.19M | BUY 3SELL 2 | 2.1d↓-12.7% | ↓ Negative |
| 8 | CLOUDFLARE | 3 | 1.68 | +30.8% vs SPY +32.8% abs | SELL $245.13M | — | 2.5d↓-0.5% | ↑ Positive | |
| 9 | ACADIA HEALTHCARE COMPANY IN | 3 | 1.63 | +4.7% vs SPY +6.7% abs | — | — | 13.9d↑+5.9%✓ | ↓ Negative | |
| 10 | NETSKOPE | 3 | 1.52 | +119.9% vs SPY +121.9% abs | BUYSELL $21.96M$5.92M | — | 2.7d↑+44.7%✓ | ↑ Positive |
Short Ideas — Already Moved — 19 signals
Stocks where 3+ funds significantly reduced or exited, but the stock has already dropped more than 10% vs SPY since quarter-end. The exit thesis may have already played out — shown for reference and potential further-downside consideration.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MEDLINE | 4 | 3.70 | -15.6% vs SPY -13.6% abs | SELL $1.15B | — | 5.1d↑+27.5%✓ | ↓ Negative | |
| 2 | APPLIED MATLS | 3 | 3.45 | -49.8% vs SPY -47.8% abs | SELL $60.00M | BUY 4SELL 1 | 2.0d↓-4.1% | ↑ Positive | |
| 3 | CPNG×2 | COUPANG | 3 | 3.34 | -22.0% vs SPY -20.0% abs | SELL $3.27M | — | 5.5d↓-0.0% | ↓ Negative |
| 4 | COHERENT | 4 | 3.20 | -49.0% vs SPY -46.9% abs | SELL $9.44M | BUY 1SELL 1 | 1.7d↑+8.5%✓ | — Neutral | |
| 5 | Entegris | 3 | 2.87 | -27.2% vs SPY -25.1% abs | SELL $1.27M | BUY 4SELL 1 | 4.3d↑+9.4%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 6 | CIENA | 3 | 2.84 | -36.7% vs SPY -34.7% abs | SELL $25.53M | BUY 2 | 1.4d↑+7.7%✓ | — Neutral | |
| 7 | CORNING | 3 | 2.58 | -53.5% vs SPY -51.5% abs | SELL $3.49M | BUY 1SELL 1 | 2.2d↓-4.4% | — Neutral | |
| 8 | CELESTICA | 3 | 2.49 | -30.8% vs SPY -28.7% abs | SELL $89.20M | — | 1.9d↑+14.8%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 9 | LUMENTUM HLDGS | 4 | 2.34 | -13.9% vs SPY -11.9% abs | SELL $90.55M | BUY 1 | 1.5d↑+14.3%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 10 | FIGURE TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIO | 3 | 2.11 | -26.5% vs SPY -24.5% abs | SELL $2.16M | — | 3.4d↑+29.2%✓ | — Neutral | |
| 11 | Arm Holdings | 3 | 1.98 | -42.7% vs SPY -40.7% abs | SELL $5.78M | — | 2.3d↑+4.3%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 12 | AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES | 3 | 1.88 | -22.9% vs SPY -20.9% abs | SELL $1.86M | BUY 1 | 2.6d↑+2.6%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 13 | LULU13D | LULULEMON ATHLETICA | 3 | 1.69 | -15.3% vs SPY -13.3% abs | — | SELL 1 | 3.1d↑+11.6%✓ | ↓ Negative |
| 14 | STELLANTIS N.V | 3 | 1.66 | -31.3% vs SPY -29.3% abs | — | BUY 1 | 6.3d↑+19.7%✓ | ↓ Negative | |
| 15 | STUBHUB HLDGS | 3 | 1.62 | -56.6% vs SPY -54.5% abs | SELL $8.48M | — | 3.7d↑+18.2%✓ | ↓ Negative | |
| 16 | PONY AI | 3 | 1.60 | -28.1% vs SPY -26.0% abs | SELL $296K | — | 6.7d↑+19.6%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 17 | BOOKING HOLDINGS | 3 | 1.55 | -14.4% vs SPY -12.4% abs | SELL $17.43M | BUY 1SELL 1 | 2.3d↑+15.2%✓ | ↑ Positive | |
| 18 | GL↩ | GLOBE LIFE | 3 | 1.55 | -15.1% vs SPY -13.0% abs | SELL $30.34M | BUY 1 | 4.5d↑+3.7%✓ | ↓ Negative |
| 19 | EQPT13D | EQUIPMENTSHARE COM | 3 | 1.54 | -20.6% vs SPY -18.6% abs | BUYSELL $1.72M$45.39M | — | 3.3d↑+7.0%✓ | ↓ Negative |
Data sourced from SEC 13F-HR filings. Holdings reflect quarter-end positions, not current holdings. Price returns computed from quarter-end close to latest close via Yahoo Finance. This is not investment advice.