News Summary
PositiveTwilio delivered a strong Q2 2026 earnings beat (EPS +24.6%, revenue +4.8% vs. consensus) and significantly raised full-year guidance from 14–15% to 18–18.5% revenue growth, triggering a 22.7% single-day stock surge and multiple analyst price-target increases. The company is successfully repositioning around AI-driven customer engagement infrastructure and returned capital through a $1.2B buyback, though earlier-year activist pressure and valuation concerns persist.
Red flags
- •Valuation risk: June 2026 analyst downgrade to Sell citing unjustified 'AI premium' in stock price; significant recent stock appreciation may limit upside
- •Activist investor pressure: Company previously faced calls to divest Segment business; ongoing governance scrutiny remains
Funds Buying (3)
| Fund | Manager | Shares Held | ∆ Shares | Position Value | % of Fund | QoQ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | Henry Ellenbogen | 1.8M | +1.8M | $381M | 3.7% | — | NEW |
| Whale Rock Capital | Alex Sacerdote | 822K | +822K | $170M | 1.4% | — | NEW |
| Point72 | Steve Cohen | 213K | +213K | $44M | <0.1% | — | NEW |
Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the position's share of the fund's reported equity portfolio — it drives the size weighting in the conviction score.
Portfolio Context
Where TWLO ranks in each buying fund's book, and the positions immediately around it. What a holding sits next to often says more about the thesis than the position size does.
position #10 of this fund's book
- 7XPO INC$498M
- 8CARVANA CO$442M
- 9MADISON AIR SOLUTIONS CORP$398M
- 10TWILIO INC$381M
- 11AFFIRM HLDGS INC$361M
- 12FABRINET$339M
- 13PRIVIA HEALTH GROUP INC$299M
position #24 of this fund's book
- 21WESTERN DIGITAL CORP$256M
- 22APPLOVIN CORP$238M
- 23SNOWFLAKE INC$225M
- 24TWILIO INC$170M
- 25SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL$143M
- 26KLAVIYO INC$83M
- 27NVIDIA CORPORATION$75M
Values are quarter-end position sizes. Shown only for funds where TWLO ranks inside their 40 largest equity positions — below that, neighbouring names carry no signal. Adjacency is an inference about a fund's reasoning, not a disclosure of it.
Funds Reducing / Exiting (3)
| Fund | Manager | Shares Held | ∆ Shares | Position Value | % of Fund | QoQ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sachem Head Capital | Scott Ferguson | 620K | -1,674,597 | $128M | 7.0% | -73% | Existing |
| Viking Global | Andreas Halvorsen | 0 | −451K | — | 0.2% | -100% | EXITED |
| Duquesne Family Office | Stanley Druckenmiller | 0 | −182K | — | 0.8% | -100% | EXITED |
Shares Held reflects quarter-end positions for partial reductions. Funds that fully exited show 0 shares held. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the prior-quarter position size — how much of the book was sold down.
Signal History
| Quarter | Direction | Funds | Score | vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | SHORT | 3 | 2.81 | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | LONG | 3 | 4.46 | +4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | LONG | 3 | 2.82 | +69.6% |
Same issuer appearing in consecutive quarters — persistent institutional conviction. Returns are frozen at each archived quarter's last refresh.
Insider Activity
| Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filed | Src |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 610 | $233.32 | $0.14M | 2026-08-17 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 310 | $234.30 | $0.07M | 2026-08-17 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 304 | $234.95 | $0.07M | 2026-08-17 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 170 | $238.10 | $0.04M | 2026-08-17 | ↗ |
| Stafman Andrew | — | SELL | 500K | $247.08 | $123.54M | 2026-08-12 | ↗ |
| ROTTENBERG ERIKA | — | SELL | 487 | $249.17 | $0.12M | 2026-08-10 | ↗ |
| ROTTENBERG ERIKA | — | SELL | 357 | $250.83 | $0.09M | 2026-08-10 | ↗ |
| ROTTENBERG ERIKA | — | SELL | 2K | $251.74 | $0.38M | 2026-08-10 | ↗ |
| ROTTENBERG ERIKA | — | SELL | 628 | $252.55 | $0.16M | 2026-08-10 | ↗ |
| ROTTENBERG ERIKA | — | SELL | 190 | $253.56 | $0.05M | 2026-08-10 | ↗ |
| ROTTENBERG ERIKA | — | SELL | 334 | $254.78 | $0.09M | 2026-08-10 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 3K | $206.99 | $0.57M | 2026-07-06 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 1K | $208.48 | $0.21M | 2026-07-06 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 2K | $210.08 | $0.48M | 2026-07-06 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 4K | $211.26 | $0.94M | 2026-07-06 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 3K | $212.36 | $0.61M | 2026-07-06 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 1K | $213.25 | $0.23M | 2026-07-06 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 9K | $205.43 | $1.75M | 2026-07-02 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 1K | $199.27 | $0.27M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 2K | $200.28 | $0.46M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 3K | $201.30 | $0.56M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 2K | $202.97 | $0.49M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Viggiano Aidan | Chief Financial Officer | SELL | 240 | $203.68 | $0.05M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 2K | $199.24 | $0.39M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 3K | $200.20 | $0.65M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 4K | $201.26 | $0.86M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 2K | $202.49 | $0.32M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 3K | $203.15 | $0.56M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
| Shipchandler Khozema | Chief Executive Officer | SELL | 74 | $203.88 | $0.02M | 2026-06-30 | ↗ |
Beneficial Ownership (13D/13G)
| Filer | Form | Shares | % of Class | Filed | Src |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. | SC 13G/A | 12.2M | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 | ↗ |
| Vanguard Capital Management | SC 13G | 8.1M | 5.3% | 2026-04-30 | ↗ |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management | SC 13G | 8.1M | 5.3% | 2026-04-29 | ↗ |
SC 13D = active intent to influence control (10-day filing deadline after crossing 5%). SC 13G = passive accumulation, no intent to influence control.