For informational purposes only — not investment advice

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STX

LONGINSIDER SELLCONGRESS BUY

Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl

Research: Finviz ↗·Perplexity ↗

Funds
8
Score
11.80
vs SPY
-14.0%
Stock return (since Q-end)
-11.9%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+2.1%
Current price
$850.24
Days to cover (short int.)
1.3d↑+9.6%
as of 2026-07-31

News Summary

Positive

Seagate delivered a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings beat with record profitability, 34% annual revenue growth, and record $3.1B free cash flow, driven by robust AI-driven cloud data center demand and successful Mozaic 4 HAMR technology ramp. Management raised guidance and signaled durable long-term growth, prompting broad-based analyst price target increases and a 'Strong Buy' consensus around $1,116; however, elevated valuation expectations, significant insider selling (~$110M in Q2), and a pre-earnings analyst downgrade present meaningful execution and valuation risks.

Red flags

  • Insider selling of ~$108–113 million over three months preceding earnings, signaling potential insider caution on valuation
  • Pre-earnings analyst downgrade (June 23, 2026) citing 'waning AI sentiment' and valuation concerns, with one contributor lowering to Buy at $937 vs. consensus $1,116
  • Valuation risk flagged by analysts given extended HDD shortages and high expectations already embedded in 12-month price targets; limited margin of safety if growth falters
  • Execution risk on Mozaic 4 ramp-up and maintaining >20% annual growth trajectory; concentration of upside in AI/hyperscaler capex cycles

Funds Buying (8)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition Value% of FundQoQStatus
Lone Pine CapitalSteve Mandel1.0M+1.0M$965M5.9%NEW
Point72Steve Cohen823K+823K$794M1.2%NEW
Sachem Head CapitalScott Ferguson472K+472K$455M9.4%NEW
Tiger GlobalChase Coleman285K+285K$275M1.1%NEW
Whale Rock CapitalAlex Sacerdote149K+149K$143M1.2%NEW
Duquesne Family OfficeStanley Druckenmiller122K+71K$118M2.7%+141%Existing
D1 CapitalDan Sundheim30K+30K$29M<0.1%NEW
Maverick CapitalLee Ainslie1K+1K$1M<0.1%NEW

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the position's share of the fund's reported equity portfolio — it drives the size weighting in the conviction score.

Portfolio Context

Where STX ranks in each buying fund's book, and the positions immediately around it. What a holding sits next to often says more about the thesis than the position size does.

Sachem Head Capital

position #2 of this fund's book

  1. 1Talen Energy Corp$526M
  2. 2Seagate Technology Hldngs PL$455M
  3. 3Primo Brands Corporation$435M
  4. 4Performance Food Group Co$374M
  5. 5MKS INC.$361M
Lone Pine Capital

position #3 of this fund's book

  1. 1NEBIUS GROUP N.V.$1,176M
  2. 2ASML HLDG NV$1,132M
  3. 3SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL$965M
  4. 4HOME DEPOT INC$918M
  5. 5APPLIED MATLS INC$873M
  6. 6MEDLINE INC$827M
Point72

position #6 of this fund's book

  1. 3AMAZON COM INC$1,061M
  2. 4MKS INC.$888M
  3. 5ARISTA NETWORKS INC$873M
  4. 6SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL$794M
  5. 7ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC$772M
  6. 8TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC$766M
  7. 9SNOWFLAKE INC$716M
Duquesne Family Office

position #10 of this fund's book

  1. 7Bbb Foods Inc$121M
  2. 8Alphabet Inc$120M
  3. 9Ishares Inc$119M
  4. 10Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl$118M
  5. 11Fox Corp$115M
  6. 12United Airls Hldgs Inc$108M
  7. 13Sea Ltd$105M
Tiger Global

position #22 of this fund's book

  1. 19ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC$392M
  2. 20BLOCK INC$348M
  3. 21APOLLO GLOBAL MGMT INC$322M
  4. 22SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL$275M
  5. 23VISA INC$274M
  6. 24MERCADOLIBRE INC$260M
  7. 25LIBERTY MEDIA CORP DEL$217M
Whale Rock Capital

position #25 of this fund's book

  1. 22APPLOVIN CORP$238M
  2. 23SNOWFLAKE INC$225M
  3. 24TWILIO INC$170M
  4. 25SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL$143M
  5. 26KLAVIYO INC$83M
  6. 27NVIDIA CORPORATION$75M
  7. 28MONGODB INC$75M

Values are quarter-end position sizes. Shown only for funds where STX ranks inside their 40 largest equity positions — below that, neighbouring names carry no signal. Adjacency is an inference about a fund's reasoning, not a disclosure of it.

Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesPriceValueFiledSrc
Teh Ban SengEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerSELL6K$920.14$5.52M2026-08-13
Teh Ban SengEVP & Chief Commercial OfficerSELL1K$923.73$1.26M2026-08-13
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$835.77$0.07M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$838.84$0.07M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL120$841.16$0.10M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$842.86$0.07M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL40$844.40$0.03M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$846.73$0.07M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL160$849.03$0.14M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL240$850.04$0.20M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL320$799.64$0.26M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL520$800.42$0.42M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL767$801.71$0.61M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL679$802.67$0.55M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL1K$803.82$0.99M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL620$804.78$0.50M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL1K$805.89$0.92M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL840$806.80$0.68M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL440$807.85$0.36M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL400$808.91$0.32M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL320$810.10$0.26M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL720$811.51$0.58M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL440$812.47$0.36M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL412$813.50$0.34M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL920$814.42$0.75M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL320$815.50$0.26M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL480$816.72$0.39M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL280$817.74$0.23M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL560$818.71$0.46M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL400$820.21$0.33M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL640$821.32$0.53M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL520$822.45$0.43M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL360$823.57$0.30M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL120$824.90$0.10M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$825.54$0.07M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL40$827.88$0.03M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL240$829.74$0.20M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL280$831.25$0.23M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL200$763.39$0.15M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL160$765.58$0.12M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL400$767.81$0.31M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL560$769.21$0.43M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL320$770.27$0.25M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL321$771.40$0.25M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL320$772.45$0.25M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL280$773.60$0.22M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL192$774.27$0.15M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL127$775.52$0.10M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL200$776.94$0.16M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL120$778.54$0.09M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL440$779.73$0.34M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$780.22$0.06M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL120$781.89$0.09M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL200$782.96$0.16M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL120$784.34$0.09M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL200$785.08$0.16M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL200$787.35$0.16M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL160$788.60$0.13M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL240$789.45$0.19M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL80$790.53$0.06M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL240$791.50$0.19M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL280$793.15$0.22M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL547$793.77$0.43M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL480$795.02$0.38M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL93$796.40$0.07M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL240$797.34$0.19M2026-08-07
Romano GianlucaEVP & CFOSELL320$798.33$0.26M2026-08-07
Morris John ChristopherEVP & CTOSELL168$817.76$0.14M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL400$819.41$0.33M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL520$820.35$0.43M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL575$821.46$0.47M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL840$822.56$0.69M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL1K$823.46$0.92M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$824.57$1.32M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL1K$825.64$1.06M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$826.76$1.64M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$827.67$1.49M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$828.60$1.36M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$829.78$1.34M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$830.83$1.63M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$832.02$0.27M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL400$832.73$0.33M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL200$833.91$0.17M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL181$835.06$0.15M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL400$835.99$0.33M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL160$836.77$0.13M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL80$837.98$0.07M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL80$783.84$0.06M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL40$786.12$0.03M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL160$787.77$0.13M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL120$789.55$0.09M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL440$790.98$0.35M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL711$792.72$0.56M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL480$793.70$0.38M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL368$794.39$0.29M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL761$795.81$0.61M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL680$797.04$0.54M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL560$797.85$0.45M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL480$799.27$0.38M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL520$800.08$0.42M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL400$801.04$0.32M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL360$802.08$0.29M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL520$803.73$0.42M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL840$804.73$0.68M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL640$806.47$0.52M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL280$807.65$0.23M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL697$808.72$0.56M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL383$809.71$0.31M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL520$810.44$0.42M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL640$811.82$0.52M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL400$812.84$0.33M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL366$814.07$0.30M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL394$814.99$0.32M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$815.87$0.26M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL440$817.17$0.36M2026-08-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$818.32$0.26M2026-08-03
Lee James CIEVP & CLOSELL694$877.45$0.61M2026-07-30
Lee James CIEVP & CLOSELL542$905.01$0.49M2026-07-23
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL1K$919.64$1.36M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL880$920.57$0.81M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL880$921.80$0.81M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL720$922.68$0.66M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL1K$923.83$1.07M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL770$925.03$0.71M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL1K$926.17$0.94M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL571$927.00$0.53M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL620$928.10$0.58M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$929.11$0.30M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL280$930.10$0.26M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL120$931.62$0.11M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$932.94$0.30M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL200$934.45$0.19M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL3$936.36$0.00M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$887.97$0.28M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$890.01$0.28M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL120$891.13$0.11M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL200$892.08$0.18M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL40$892.93$0.04M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL266$894.39$0.24M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL254$895.66$0.23M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL400$896.77$0.36M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL340$897.78$0.31M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL300$898.79$0.27M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL308$900.05$0.28M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL401$900.82$0.36M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$902.14$0.29M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL560$903.08$0.51M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL720$904.36$0.65M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL320$905.12$0.29M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL609$906.47$0.55M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL391$907.56$0.35M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL560$908.42$0.51M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL441$909.52$0.40M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL399$910.49$0.36M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL960$911.63$0.88M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL813$912.72$0.74M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$913.65$1.46M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$914.77$2.18M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$915.65$2.11M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL1K$916.61$1.09M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$917.67$1.62M2026-07-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM DCEOSELL2K$918.67$1.90M2026-07-01

Beneficial Ownership (13D/13G)

FilerFormShares% of ClassFiledSrc
Sanders Capital, LLCSC 13G/A3.5M1.6%2026-08-05
Vanguard Portfolio ManagementSC 13G/A8.0M3.6%2026-07-31
Vanguard Capital ManagementSC 13G16.3M7.5%2026-04-30
Vanguard Portfolio ManagementSC 13G11.1M5.1%2026-04-29
Sanders Capital, LLCSC 13G/A13.0M6.0%2026-04-16

SC 13D = active intent to influence control (10-day filing deadline after crossing 5%). SC 13G = passive accumulation, no intent to influence control.

Congressional Trading

MemberChamberStateTypeAmount RangeTransaction DateFiledSrc
Alan ArmstrongsenateBUY$1,001 - $15,0002026-03-272026-07-21

Periodic Transaction Reports filed under the STOCK Act. Amounts are disclosed as ranges, not exact dollar figures.