For informational purposes only — not investment advice

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TSM

LONGINSIDER BUYINSIDER SELLCONGRESS BUY

TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC

Research: Finviz ↗·Perplexity ↗

Funds
5
Score
7.33
vs SPY
-15.0%
Stock return (since Q-end)
-12.9%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+2.1%
Current price
$416.00
Days to cover (short int.)
2.0d-0.5%
as of 2026-07-31

News Summary

Positive

TSMC delivered a blowout Q2 2026 with 77.4% YoY net income growth, 67.7% gross margins, and AI/HPC revenue reaching 66% of total—beating guidance and prompting raised full-year growth guidance to >40% and capex raised to $60–64B. Strategic expansions (Sony JV, Chiayi packaging plants) and management's 'extremely robust' AI demand commentary reinforce strong execution, though analyst caution on 2028–2029 payoff clarity introduces longer-term visibility risk.

Red flags

  • Analyst flagged need for clarity on AI revenue payoffs in 2028–2029, signaling potential demand sustainability questions beyond near-term
  • Mixed institutional activity with some large funds (Sands Capital, Longview Partners) trimming stakes despite strong results
  • Sony JV volume production not expected until 2029, indicating delayed monetization on new image sensor initiative

Funds Buying (5)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition Value% of FundQoQStatus
Appaloosa LPDavid Tepper1.6M+322K$788M10.5%+24%Existing
Point72Steve Cohen1.6M+1.6M$766M1.2%NEW
Altimeter CapitalBrad Gerstner1.4M+64K$683M6.9%+5%Existing
Duquesne Family OfficeStanley Druckenmiller590K+94K$282M6.5%+19%Existing
Third PointDan Loeb460K+185K$220M4.7%+67%Existing

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the position's share of the fund's reported equity portfolio — it drives the size weighting in the conviction score.

Portfolio Context

Where TSM ranks in each buying fund's book, and the positions immediately around it. What a holding sits next to often says more about the thesis than the position size does.

Duquesne Family Office

position #2 of this fund's book

  1. 1Natera Inc$865M
  2. 2Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac$282M
  3. 3Stmicroelectronics N V$232M
  4. 4Insmed Inc$152M
  5. 5Ypf Sociedad Anonima$143M
Appaloosa LP

position #3 of this fund's book

  1. 1AMAZON COM INC$1,192M
  2. 2MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC$1,125M
  3. 3TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC$788M
  4. 4ALPHABET INC$654M
  5. 5UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC$555M
  6. 6ISHARES INC$490M
Altimeter Capital

position #4 of this fund's book

  1. 1NVIDIA CORPORATION$1,884M
  2. 2CEREBRAS SYSTEMS INC$1,597M
  3. 3META PLATFORMS INC$763M
  4. 4TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MFG LTD$683M
  5. 5COREWEAVE INC$605M
  6. 6ARM HOLDINGS PLC$582M
  7. 7AMAZON COM INC$578M
Third Point

position #6 of this fund's book

  1. 3ALPHABET INC$366M
  2. 4CRH PLC$235M
  3. 5TELEPHONE & DATA SYS INC$232M
  4. 6TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC$220M
  5. 7LIVE NATION ENTERTAINMENT IN$208M
  6. 8KEYSIGHT TECHNOLOGIES INC$205M
  7. 9SOMNIGROUP INTERNATIONAL INC$202M
Point72

position #8 of this fund's book

  1. 5ARISTA NETWORKS INC$873M
  2. 6SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL$794M
  3. 7ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC$772M
  4. 8TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC$766M
  5. 9SNOWFLAKE INC$716M
  6. 10PROCTER & GAMBLE CO$634M
  7. 11RTX CORPORATION$626M

Values are quarter-end position sizes. Shown only for funds where TSM ranks inside their 40 largest equity positions — below that, neighbouring names carry no signal. Adjacency is an inference about a fund's reasoning, not a disclosure of it.

Signal History

QuarterDirectionFundsScorevs SPY
Q2 2026LONG57.33-15.0%
Q1 2026LONG810.70+6.8%

Same issuer appearing in consecutive quarters — persistent institutional conviction. Returns are frozen at each archived quarter's last refresh.

Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesPriceValueFiledSrc
Yuan LipenVPBUY1K$73.77$0.07M2026-08-19
Yuan LipenVPBUY1K$74.50$0.07M2026-08-18
Yuan LipenVPBUY350$73.58$0.03M2026-08-18
Yuan LipenVPBUY42$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Wu Yi-HuangVPBUY41$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Yoo Chue-SanVPBUY51$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Mii Yuh-JierEVP and Co-COOBUY72$73.31$0.01M2026-08-07
Wang Ying-LangSVPBUY55$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Wei Che-ChiaChairman and CEOBUY152$73.31$0.01M2026-08-07
Wu Shien-YangSVPBUY57$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY42$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY7$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Lu Lee-ChungVPBUY52$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Lin Shyue-ShyhVPBUY47$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Lee Chun-HsienSVPBUY54$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Lu Chin-ShengVPBUY39$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Jang Syun-MingVPBUY50$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Hsu Kuo-ChinVPBUY54$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Huang Jen-ChauSVP and CFOBUY29$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Hwang Yuan-KoVPBUY40$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Ku Yao-ChingVPBUY47$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
He JunVPBUY46$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Chuang Tzu-SouVPBUY47$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Hou Yung-ChinSVP and Deputy Co-COOBUY63$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Chuang JuipingVPBUY49$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Fang Shu-HuaSVP and GCBUY57$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Chang Tzonz-ShengSVPBUY54$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Chen Chih-HoControllerBUY33$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Chen Pei-HungVPBUY46$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Cao MinVPBUY55$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Chin Yung-PeiEVP and Co-COOBUY72$73.31$0.01M2026-08-07
Lin Chris Horng-DarVP and CIOBUY49$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Yeap Choh FeiSVPBUY57$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Zhang Kevin XiaoqiangSVP and Deputy Co-COOBUY63$73.31$0.00M2026-08-07
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY1K$73.06$0.07M2026-08-03
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY10$390.00$0.00M2026-07-28
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY5$390.00$0.00M2026-07-28
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY1K$67.97$0.07M2026-07-28
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY1K$74.44$0.07M2026-07-21
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY1K$74.13$0.07M2026-07-21
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY1K$73.98$0.07M2026-07-21
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY1K$74.75$0.07M2026-07-21
Lin Shyue-ShyhVPBUY1K$74.13$0.07M2026-07-21
Lin Shyue-ShyhVPBUY1K$72.65$0.07M2026-07-20
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY10$405.00$0.00M2026-07-20
Lin Shyue-ShyhVPBUY1K$72.10$0.07M2026-07-19
Lin Shyue-ShyhVPBUY1K$71.32$0.07M2026-07-19
Lin Shyue-ShyhVPBUY1K$71.94$0.07M2026-07-19
Chen Chih-HoControllerSELL50$75.22$0.00M2026-07-14
Chen Chih-HoControllerBUY50$74.60$0.00M2026-07-13
Wang Ying-LangSVPBUY53$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Jang Syun-MingVPBUY47$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Wu Shien-YangSVPBUY54$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Ku Yao-ChingVPBUY46$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Chuang JuipingVPBUY47$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Lin Chris Horng-DarVP and CIOBUY46$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Chang Tzonz-ShengSVPBUY52$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Wei Che-ChiaChairman and CEOBUY146$76.62$0.01M2026-07-07
Lee Chun-HsienSVPBUY50$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Chen Pei-HungVPBUY44$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY40$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07
Tien Bor-ZenVPBUY6$76.62$0.00M2026-07-07

Congressional Trading

MemberChamberStateTypeAmount RangeTransaction DateFiledSrc
Cleo FieldshouseLA06BUY$1,001 - $15,0002026-07-102026-07-30
Richard W. AllenhouseGA12BUY$1,001 - $15,0002026-05-082026-06-16

Periodic Transaction Reports filed under the STOCK Act. Amounts are disclosed as ranges, not exact dollar figures.