For informational purposes only — not investment advice

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SPCX

LONGCONGRESS BUY

SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP

Research: Finviz ↗·Perplexity ↗

Funds
9
Score
13.87
vs SPY
-23.7%
Stock return (since Q-end)
-21.6%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+2.1%
Current price
$134.00
Days to cover (short int.)
3.1d↑+25.9%
as of 2026-07-31

News Summary

Positive

SpaceX delivered a strong Q2 earnings beat with $7.8B revenue (+92% YoY) and narrowed losses, but massive capital expenditures of $18.37B in a single quarter—nearly matching all of 2025 spending—signal a prolonged investment cycle that pressures near-term profitability despite analyst optimism about long-term AI infrastructure ROI. The $60B Cursor acquisition integrates AI coding capabilities into SpaceXAI, positioning the company in high-growth AI/compute markets alongside Starlink, though the heavy capex and stock volatility tied to lockup expirations present execution and liquidity risks.

Red flags

  • Capital expenditures reached $18.37B in Q2 2026 alone, with management indicating similar levels expected in next two quarters—a ~$55B quarterly run rate on capex that significantly pressures cash flow and profitability
  • Despite earnings beat, stock fell 7.46% after-hours due to investor concern over capex trajectory
  • Short interest collapsed from 34% to 11% following lockup expiry and short squeeze; next lockup expiry on Aug. 20 presents risk of insider selling wave and renewed volatility
  • Stock remains ~12% below IPO price on a year-to-date basis despite recent 35% rebound, indicating lingering investor uncertainty

Funds Buying (9)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition Value% of FundQoQStatus
D1 CapitalDan Sundheim126.0M+126.0M$21.5B61.9%NEW
Coatue ManagementPhilippe Laffont18.6M+18.6M$3.2B6.5%NEW
DragoneerMarc Stad8.0M+8.0M$1.4B48.2%NEW
Altimeter CapitalBrad Gerstner1.8M+1.8M$304M3.1%NEW
Viking GlobalAndreas Halvorsen1.2M+1.2M$205M0.6%NEW
Tiger GlobalChase Coleman375K+375K$64M0.3%NEW
Appaloosa LPDavid Tepper225K+225K$38M0.5%NEW
Third PointDan Loeb180K+180K$31M0.7%NEW
Whale Rock CapitalAlex Sacerdote153K+153K$26M0.2%NEW

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the position's share of the fund's reported equity portfolio — it drives the size weighting in the conviction score.

Portfolio Context

Where SPCX ranks in each buying fund's book, and the positions immediately around it. What a holding sits next to often says more about the thesis than the position size does.

D1 Capital

position #1 of this fund's book

  1. 1SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$21,536M
  2. 2MAPLEBEAR INC$1,068M
  3. 3JAMES HARDIE INDS PLC$721M
  4. 4NU HLDGS LTD$593M
Dragoneer

position #1 of this fund's book

  1. 1SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$1,367M
  2. 2ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC$548M
  3. 3AMAZON COM INC$303M
  4. 4INNIO NV$113M
Coatue Management

position #4 of this fund's book

  1. 1TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC$4,258M
  2. 2LAM RESEARCH CORP$4,091M
  3. 3MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC$3,627M
  4. 4SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$3,171M
  5. 5APPLIED MATLS INC$3,046M
  6. 6GE VERNOVA INC$3,005M
  7. 7AMAZON COM INC$2,821M
Altimeter Capital

position #12 of this fund's book

  1. 9SNOWFLAKE INC$490M
  2. 10MICROSOFT CORP$473M
  3. 11QUALCOMM INC$348M
  4. 12SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$304M
  5. 13MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC$242M
  6. 14APPLIED MATLS INC$189M
  7. 15KLA CORP$174M
Appaloosa LP

position #21 of this fund's book

  1. 18ASML HLDG NV$99M
  2. 19BROADCOM INC$57M
  3. 20QUALCOMM INC$46M
  4. 21SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$38M
  5. 22ENERGY TRANSFER L P$30M
  6. 23MPLX LP$28M
  7. 24WHIRLPOOL CORP$28M
Third Point

position #27 of this fund's book

  1. 24ASML HLDG NV$60M
  2. 25SYSCO CORP$48M
  3. 26ARES MANAGEMENT CORPORATION$42M
  4. 27SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$31M
  5. 28STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INC$26M
  6. 29ALPHABET INC$10M
  7. 30ARS PHARMACEUTICALS INC$8M
Whale Rock Capital

position #33 of this fund's book

  1. 30DUOLINGO INC$54M
  2. 31INTEL CORP$36M
  3. 32APPLE INC$29M
  4. 33SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$26M
  5. 34BROADCOM INC$23M
  6. 35CEREBRAS SYSTEMS INC$11M
Tiger Global

position #34 of this fund's book

  1. 31SHERWIN WILLIAMS CO$89M
  2. 32DANAHER CORP DEL$87M
  3. 33SERVICENOW INC$87M
  4. 34SPACE EXPLORATION TECHN CORP$64M
  5. 35WEBULL CORP$44M
  6. 36ATRENEW INC$38M
  7. 37APPLIED DIGITAL CORP$33M

Values are quarter-end position sizes. Shown only for funds where SPCX ranks inside their 40 largest equity positions — below that, neighbouring names carry no signal. Adjacency is an inference about a fund's reasoning, not a disclosure of it.

Beneficial Ownership (13D/13G)

FilerFormShares% of ClassFiledSrc
The Founders Fund II, LPSC 13G155.4M2.0%2026-08-14
Google LLCSC 13G551.2M7.2%2026-08-14
Elon R. MuskSC 13G6418.5M48.4%2026-08-13
Antonio J. GraciasSC 13G503.4M6.5%2026-08-11

SC 13D = active intent to influence control (10-day filing deadline after crossing 5%). SC 13G = passive accumulation, no intent to influence control.

Congressional Trading

MemberChamberStateTypeAmount RangeTransaction DateFiledSrc
Gilbert CisneroshouseCA31BUY$1,001 - $15,0002026-06-182026-07-02
Daniel MeuserhousePA09BUY$15,001 - $50,0002026-06-152026-07-02
John McGuirehouseVA05BUY$1,001 - $15,0002026-06-152026-07-08

Periodic Transaction Reports filed under the STOCK Act. Amounts are disclosed as ranges, not exact dollar figures.