ASML
LONGCONGRESS BUYCONGRESS SELLASML HLDG NV N Y REGISTRY
Research: Finviz ↗·Perplexity ↗
🗄 Viewing archived Q1 2026 data — frozen, no longer refreshed.
News Summary
PositiveASML delivered exceptional H1 2026 performance with two guidance raises (to €43–45B full-year revenue, +16% vs. prior guidance) driven by AI chip capacity buildout, beating earnings on both occasions with expanding margins (54–56% guided for FY). However, the MATCH Act (passed House Foreign Affairs Committee April 22) explicitly targets ASML's DUV immersion tools and post-sale servicing of ~1,400 machines in China, with BofA estimating a full ban could reduce revenue by 14–15% and EBIT by 16–17%—a material downside risk the company has partially flagged in guidance.
Red flags
- •MATCH Act threatens 14–15% revenue and 16–17% EBIT impact if DUV and servicing ban fully implemented; export control risk is acute despite partial guidance buffer
- •China system sales collapsed from 36% (Q4 2025) to 19% (Q1 2026), with geopolitical/regulatory pressures likely to persist
- •High-NA EUV adoption (core growth driver) limited so far to Intel; TSMC delaying through 2029, suggesting customer hesitancy on expensive new technology
Funds Buying (6)
| Fund | Manager | Shares Held | ∆ Shares | Position Value | % of Fund | QoQ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lone Pine Capital | Steve Mandel | 655K | +50K | $865M | 6.9% | +8% | Existing |
| Point72 | Steve Cohen | 565K | +565K | $746M | 1.3% | — | NEW |
| Coatue Management | Philippe Laffont | 496K | +496K | $655M | 2.3% | — | NEW |
| Third Point | Dan Loeb | 12K | +12K | $16M | 0.8% | — | NEW |
| D1 Capital | Dan Sundheim | 7K | +7K | $9M | <0.1% | — | NEW |
| Situational Awareness LP | Leopold Aschenbrenner | 5K | +5K | $6M | 0.2% | — | NEW |
Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the position's share of the fund's reported equity portfolio — it drives the size weighting in the conviction score.
Portfolio Context
Where ASML ranks in each buying fund's book, and the positions immediately around it. What a holding sits next to often says more about the thesis than the position size does.
position #2 of this fund's book
- 1VISTRA CORP$930M
- 2ASML HLDG NV$865M
- 3CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORP$717M
- 4LPL FINL HLDGS INC$617M
- 5APPLOVIN CORP$583M
position #4 of this fund's book
- 1NVIDIA CORPORATION$1,323M
- 2AMAZON COM INC$1,033M
- 3ARISTA NETWORKS INC$804M
- 4ASML HLDG NV$746M
- 5CREDO TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDI$702M
- 6BROADCOM INC$701M
- 7TERADYNE INC$677M
position #15 of this fund's book
- 12EQUINIX INC$1,069M
- 13MICROSOFT CORP$918M
- 14NETFLIX INC.$663M
- 15ASML HLDG NV$655M
- 16SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY S A$641M
- 17APPLOVIN CORP$513M
- 18NATERA INC$508M
position #23 of this fund's book
- 20INTEL CORP$9M
- 21TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC$8M
- 22HIVE DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES LT$6M
- 23ASML HLDG NV N Y REGISTRY$6M
- 24MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC$6M
- 25CORNING INC$1M
- 26NVIDIA CORPORATION$0M
position #23 of this fund's book
- 20STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INC$21M
- 21KLA CORP$16M
- 22LAM RESEARCH CORP$16M
- 23ASML HLDG NV$16M
- 24BROADCOM INC$15M
- 25VANECK ETF TRUST$15M
- 26SHARKNINJA INC$14M
Values are quarter-end position sizes. Shown only for funds where ASML ranks inside their 40 largest equity positions — below that, neighbouring names carry no signal. Adjacency is an inference about a fund's reasoning, not a disclosure of it.
Signal History
| Quarter | Direction | Funds | Score | vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | LONG | 3 | 3.70 | -14.0% |
| Q1 2026 | LONG | 6 | 7.53 | +20.4% |
Same issuer appearing in consecutive quarters — persistent institutional conviction. Returns are frozen at each archived quarter's last refresh.
Congressional Trading
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount Range | Transaction Date | Filed | Src |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | senate | — | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-07-21 | ↗ |
| Alan Armstrong | senate | — | BUY | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2026-03-30 | 2026-07-21 | ↗ |
| Thomas H Tuberville | senate | — | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2024-05-03 | 2026-08-05 | ↗ |
Periodic Transaction Reports filed under the STOCK Act. Amounts are disclosed as ranges, not exact dollar figures.