For informational purposes only — not investment advice

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MOH

LONGINSIDER SELL

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC

Research: Finviz ↗·Perplexity ↗

🗄 Viewing archived Q1 2026 data — frozen, no longer refreshed.

Funds
3
Score
3.09
vs SPY
+39.7%
Stock return (since Q-end)
+59.4%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+19.7%
Current price
$212.43
Days to cover (short int.)
5.8d↑+4.2%
as of 2026-09-15

News Summary

Negative

Molina beat Q2 adjusted EPS but faced significant headwinds: Medicaid membership declined to 4.9M, Medical Care Ratios deteriorated sharply (MCR up 180 bps YoY to 92.2%), and full-year Marketplace guidance was slashed by $1.50/share due to unfavorable acuity. Management signaled Medicaid margin pressures have reached a 'trough,' but the company is strategically retreating from ACA operations (scaling to 6 states) and absorbing a non-recurring $1.50/share Florida CMS contract drag in 2026.

Red flags

  • •Medicaid MCR deteriorated 180 bps YoY to 92.7%; consolidated MCR at 92.2% signals profitability pressure
  • •Premium revenue down 4% YoY; membership declined from 5.0M to 4.9M sequentially
  • •Full-year Marketplace guidance cut by $1.50/share, swinging from gain to loss
  • •Net income down 76% YoY despite EPS beat
  • •Shareholder investigation into alleged nondisclosure of medical cost trend assumptions and 2025 guidance reliability
  • •Florida CMS contract implementation dragging 2026 by $1.50/share
  • •Strategic pullback from ACA business (6 states only) reflects competitive weakness and profitability challenges
  • •Consensus analyst rating 'Hold' with 11 of 17 analysts neutral; Wells Fargo downgraded to Equal Weight with PT cut

Funds Buying (3)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition Value% of FundQoQStatus
Maverick CapitalLee Ainslie646K+646K$86M1.0%—NEW
Baupost GroupSeth Klarman634K+9K$84M1.7%+1%Existing
Point72Steve Cohen318K+318K$42M<0.1%—NEW

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the position's share of the fund's reported equity portfolio — it drives the size weighting in the conviction score.

Portfolio Context

Where MOH ranks in each buying fund's book, and the positions immediately around it. What a holding sits next to often says more about the thesis than the position size does.

Baupost Group

position #18 of this fund's book

  1. 15HERBALIFE LTD$136M
  2. 16GDS HLDGS LTD$123M
  3. 17AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST INC$89M
  4. 18MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC$84M
  5. 19GRUPO AEROMEXICO SAB DE CV$68M
  6. 20NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HLDGS$68M
  7. 21VAXCYTE INC$46M
Maverick Capital

position #34 of this fund's book

  1. 31COCA COLA CO$98M
  2. 32PHILIP MORRIS INTL INC$94M
  3. 33MCDONALDS CORP$91M
  4. 34MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC$86M
  5. 35VAXCYTE INC$80M
  6. 36NOVO-NORDISK A S$76M
  7. 37WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD$74M

Values are quarter-end position sizes. Shown only for funds where MOH ranks inside their 40 largest equity positions — below that, neighbouring names carry no signal. Adjacency is an inference about a fund's reasoning, not a disclosure of it.

Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesPriceValueFiledSrc
HEBERT MAURICEChief Accounting OfficerSELL600$191.55$0.11M2026-05-14↗
Barlow Jeff D.Chief Legal OfficerSELL18K$186.12$3.31M2026-05-11↗

Beneficial Ownership (13D/13G)

FilerFormShares% of ClassFiledSrc
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.SC 13G/A994K1.9%2026-02-17↗
Capital World InvestorsSC 13G/A3.5M6.8%2026-02-13↗
AQR Capital Management, LLCSC 13G/A410K0.8%2026-02-12↗
FMR LLCSC 13G3.0M5.8%2026-02-05↗
BlackRock, Inc.SC 13G/A3.5M6.9%2026-01-21↗

SC 13D = active intent to influence control (10-day filing deadline after crossing 5%). SC 13G = passive accumulation, no intent to influence control.