For informational purposes only — not investment advice

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CMG

SHORT

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Research: Finviz ↗·Perplexity ↗

🗄 Viewing archived Q1 2026 data — frozen, no longer refreshed.

Funds
3
Score
2.45
vs SPY
-15.0%
Stock return (since Q-end)
+4.7%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+19.7%
Current price
$33.50
Days to cover (short int.)
2.2d-22.9%
as of 2026-07-31

News Summary

Neutral

CMG delivered better-than-expected Q1 and Q2 2026 results with raised guidance (flat to low single-digit comps growth), strong unit growth (149 openings in H1), and expanding digital penetration (38%+ of sales). However, margin compression (250 bps in Q2), recurring food safety incidents (cyclospora, salmonella outbreaks), and persistent operational headwinds (wage/beef inflation) created material headwinds that offset growth achievements.

Red flags

  • Operating margin contracted 250 basis points to 15.7% in Q2 2026 vs 18.2% YoY; restaurant-level margins fell 220 bps
  • Two significant food safety incidents (cyclospora in July, salmonella jalapeños in August) caused stock drops of ~5-10% and 2 ppt sales impact, demonstrating persistent brand vulnerability
  • Adjusted EPS guidance modest ($0.24-$0.33 in H1) despite 7-9% revenue growth, indicating margin pressure offsetting topline gains
  • Comparable restaurant sales growth decelerating expectations (initial guidance flat, revised to 'low single-digit'), suggesting comping challenges despite promotional efforts
  • Key leadership departure (President & Chief Brand Officer Chris Brandt in January 2026) with interim CMO search still ongoing as of Q2

Funds Reducing / Exiting (3)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition Value% of FundQoQStatus
Duquesne Family OfficeStanley Druckenmiller0−392K0.3%-100%EXITED
Third PointDan Loeb0−4.7M2.4%-100%EXITED
Point72Steve Cohen0−590K0.1%-100%EXITED

Shares Held reflects quarter-end positions for partial reductions. Funds that fully exited show 0 shares held. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter. % of Fund is the prior-quarter position size — how much of the book was sold down.

Beneficial Ownership (13D/13G)

FilerFormShares% of ClassFiledSrc
Capital World InvestorsSC 13G/A101.8M7.7%2026-02-13
The Vanguard GroupSC 13G/A144.6M10.9%2026-01-07

SC 13D = active intent to influence control (10-day filing deadline after crossing 5%). SC 13G = passive accumulation, no intent to influence control.