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STZ

LONGINSIDER SELL

CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC

Funds
3
Score
4.50
vs SPY
-23.2%
Stock return (since Q-end)
-6.8%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+16.3%
Current price
$138.82

News Summary

Negative

STZ beat Q4 earnings ($1.90 adj. EPS vs. $1.72 expected) but reported 10% full-year revenue decline and 14% comparable EPS decline, with subdued demand and withdrawal of FY2028 guidance signaling significant near-term headwinds. New CEO transition, tariff exposure ($20M impact in FY2026), and wine/spirits segment collapse (51% sales decline) create execution risk, though cost savings are ahead of schedule and the company maintains strong cash generation.

Red flags

  • Full-year comparable EPS declined 14% ($11.82 vs. prior year) despite Q4 beat
  • Net sales down 10% year-over-year ($9.14B)
  • FY2028 guidance withdrawn; management cites 'limited near-term visibility' and 'subdued' demand
  • Wine & Spirits segment net sales collapsed 51%; operating margin plummeted from 19.5% to 1.3%
  • Beer shipments declined 3.8% despite depletion growth of only 0.6%
  • CEO transition (Fink takes over April 13, 2026) triggered 8% stock drop and execution risk through FY2028
  • Material tariff exposure ($20M in FY2026 alone from aluminum; broader Mexico/Italy/NZ tariff risks)
  • FY2027 guidance nearly flat: enterprise organic sales (1)% to +1% with comparable EPS only $11.20–$11.90 (down from $11.82)

Funds Buying (3)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition ValueQoQStatus
Point72Steve Cohen1.9M+1.9M$283.8BNEW
Berkshire HathawayWarren Buffett633K+633K$94.9BNEW
Maverick CapitalLee Ainslie2K+2K$356MNEW

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter.

Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesPriceValueFiled
Bourdeau James O.EVP and Senior AdvisorSELL4K$143.24$0.63M2026-05-12
Hernandez Ernesto MSELL2K$153.91$0.31M2026-04-27