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STZ
LONGINSIDER SELLCONSTELLATION BRANDS INC
Funds
3
Score
4.50
vs SPY
-23.2%
Stock return (since Q-end)
-6.8%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+16.3%
Current price
$138.82
News Summary
NegativeSTZ beat Q4 earnings ($1.90 adj. EPS vs. $1.72 expected) but reported 10% full-year revenue decline and 14% comparable EPS decline, with subdued demand and withdrawal of FY2028 guidance signaling significant near-term headwinds. New CEO transition, tariff exposure ($20M impact in FY2026), and wine/spirits segment collapse (51% sales decline) create execution risk, though cost savings are ahead of schedule and the company maintains strong cash generation.
Red flags
- •Full-year comparable EPS declined 14% ($11.82 vs. prior year) despite Q4 beat
- •Net sales down 10% year-over-year ($9.14B)
- •FY2028 guidance withdrawn; management cites 'limited near-term visibility' and 'subdued' demand
- •Wine & Spirits segment net sales collapsed 51%; operating margin plummeted from 19.5% to 1.3%
- •Beer shipments declined 3.8% despite depletion growth of only 0.6%
- •CEO transition (Fink takes over April 13, 2026) triggered 8% stock drop and execution risk through FY2028
- •Material tariff exposure ($20M in FY2026 alone from aluminum; broader Mexico/Italy/NZ tariff risks)
- •FY2027 guidance nearly flat: enterprise organic sales (1)% to +1% with comparable EPS only $11.20–$11.90 (down from $11.82)
Funds Buying (3)
| Fund | Manager | Shares Held | ∆ Shares | Position Value | QoQ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point72 | Steve Cohen | 1.9M | +1.9M | $283.8B | — | NEW |
| Berkshire Hathaway | Warren Buffett | 633K | +633K | $94.9B | — | NEW |
| Maverick Capital | Lee Ainslie | 2K | +2K | $356M | — | NEW |
Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter.
Insider Activity
| Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourdeau James O. | EVP and Senior Advisor | SELL | 4K | $143.24 | $0.63M | 2026-05-12 |
| Hernandez Ernesto M | — | SELL | 2K | $153.91 | $0.31M | 2026-04-27 |