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MTCH

LONGINSIDER SELL

MATCH GROUP INC NEW

Funds
3
Score
4.50
vs SPY
+2.1%
Stock return (since Q-end)
+18.4%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+16.3%
Current price
$36.13

News Summary

Neutral

Match Group delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat with 12% EPS upside and 25% EBITDA growth, driven by margin expansion and the Sniffies $100M investment positioning the company in high-growth segments. However, persistent headwinds at Azar (App Store disruption), cautious 2026 guidance embedding a $20M Q2 headwind, and Tinder's continued user/payer declines despite stabilizing engagement temper the narrative—the company remains in recovery mode with valuation dependent on proving Tinder turnaround at scale.

Red flags

  • Tinder MAUs and payers still declining YoY despite stabilizing engagement; no confirmed payer growth yet
  • Azar revenue pressure from App Store reinstatement changes; $20M headwind embedded in Q2 guidance
  • Cautious full-year 2026 revenue outlook with embedded headwinds suggests management uncertainty
  • Hinge strong but 'not yet scale-defining'; core Tinder recovery timeline extends to 2027
  • 64% of analysts rate as Hold with valuation re-rating dependent on Tinder payer growth consistency

Funds Buying (3)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition ValueQoQStatus
Starboard ValueJeff Smith11.4M+11.4M$350.0BNEW
Point72Steve Cohen307K+307K$9.4BNEW
Maverick CapitalLee Ainslie35K+35K$1.1BNEW

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter.

Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesPriceValueFiled
Brenner Melissa AnneSELL5K$35.94$0.18M2026-05-08