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MTCH
LONGINSIDER SELLMATCH GROUP INC NEW
Funds
3
Score
4.50
vs SPY
+2.1%
Stock return (since Q-end)
+18.4%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+16.3%
Current price
$36.13
News Summary
NeutralMatch Group delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat with 12% EPS upside and 25% EBITDA growth, driven by margin expansion and the Sniffies $100M investment positioning the company in high-growth segments. However, persistent headwinds at Azar (App Store disruption), cautious 2026 guidance embedding a $20M Q2 headwind, and Tinder's continued user/payer declines despite stabilizing engagement temper the narrative—the company remains in recovery mode with valuation dependent on proving Tinder turnaround at scale.
Red flags
- •Tinder MAUs and payers still declining YoY despite stabilizing engagement; no confirmed payer growth yet
- •Azar revenue pressure from App Store reinstatement changes; $20M headwind embedded in Q2 guidance
- •Cautious full-year 2026 revenue outlook with embedded headwinds suggests management uncertainty
- •Hinge strong but 'not yet scale-defining'; core Tinder recovery timeline extends to 2027
- •64% of analysts rate as Hold with valuation re-rating dependent on Tinder payer growth consistency
Funds Buying (3)
| Fund | Manager | Shares Held | ∆ Shares | Position Value | QoQ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starboard Value | Jeff Smith | 11.4M | +11.4M | $350.0B | — | NEW |
| Point72 | Steve Cohen | 307K | +307K | $9.4B | — | NEW |
| Maverick Capital | Lee Ainslie | 35K | +35K | $1.1B | — | NEW |
Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter.
Insider Activity
| Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenner Melissa Anne | — | SELL | 5K | $35.94 | $0.18M | 2026-05-08 |