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FWONK

LONG

LIBERTY MEDIA CORP DEL

Funds
3
Score
4.50
vs SPY
-9.5%
Stock return (since Q-end)
+6.8%
SPY return (since Q-end)
+16.3%
Current price
$90.79

News Summary

Negative

FWONK delivered a strong Q1 2026 earnings beat with F1 revenue surging 53% to $617M and EPS of $0.03 vs. consensus loss, but this was significantly overshadowed by the cancellation of Bahrain and Saudi Arabia races due to geopolitical tensions, which will cost approximately $70M in adjusted OIBDA and reduce the 2026 calendar to 22 races. While management is confident in long-term trajectory and secured new sponsorships/broadcast deals, the near-term financial impact is material and multiple analysts lowered price targets in response.

Red flags

  • Bahrain and Saudi Arabia race cancellations estimated to reduce adjusted OIBDA by ~$70M against street consensus
  • 2026 F1 calendar reduced to 22 races vs. 25 in 2025, creating unfavorable year-over-year comparisons
  • $118.5M in race promotion fees and $93.7M in sponsorships lost from two cancelled races
  • Analyst consensus shifted negative post-cancellations: Evercore lowered PT from $124→$120, UBS from $107→$104, JPMorgan from $122→$115
  • Stock dropped nearly 12% on geopolitical news despite Q1 earnings beat, signaling investor concern about execution risk
  • CLO compensation increased ~$4M to $7.8M in 2025, raising governance concerns amid financial headwinds

Funds Buying (3)

FundManagerShares Held∆ SharesPosition ValueQoQStatus
Tiger GlobalChase Coleman2.7M+2.7M$228.0BNEW
Point72Steve Cohen1.7M+1.7M$143.3BNEW
Soros Fund ManagementSoros Family Office247K+247K$21.0BNEW

Shares Held and Position Value reflect total quarter-end holdings. ∆ Shares is the change from the prior quarter.